区块链开发者生态报告(2020年1-10月).pdf

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1、Developer Report January - October 2020 The Developer Report is built on proprietary data from Electric Capital Electric Capital is a venture firm that invests in cryptocurrencies & blockchain based businesses. We compile code, profile nodes, analyze blockchains and open source projects, help secure

2、 cryptonetworks, and write software to help the crypto industry understand developer adoption across ecosystems. Twitter: ElectricCapital Data Pipeline Curtis Spencer Twitter: jubos Contributor Avichal Garg Twitter: avichal Data Pipeline Ken Deeter Twitter: puntium 2 Author Maria Shen Twitter: Maria

3、Shen Why analyze developer activity? 3 1.Crypto networks are new open platforms on which a new applications will be built. 2.An early signal of adoption on an emerging platform is engagement from developers. Developers build the applications that deliver value to end users and customers, which attra

4、cts more developers. 3.The crypto stack is uniquely open source, allowing us to analyze and understand developer engagement in an unprecedented way. 1.The number of new crypto developers is growing for the first time since 2017 a.New monthly crypto developers grew 15% in 2020, increasing for the fir

5、st time since 2017 b.80%+ of all active developers today came in the last two years 2.There is a flight to quality: high quality ecosystems are growing while others are shrinking a.Monthly active crypto developers have stayed flat even as new developers joined due to developer loss outside of the To

6、p 200 ecosystems by network value b.The number of developers outside of the Top 200 decreased by 30% from December 2018 3.Developer activity is particularly strong across Bitcoin, Ethereum, some Layer 1s, and Decentralized Finance a.Bitcoin ecosystem has 70%+ more developers than it did 3 years ago

7、b.300+ new developers per month commit to the Ethereum ecosystem c.67% increase in monthly active developers in Decentralized Finance since January 2020 Executive Summary 4 Overview 5 December 1 - 31, 2019: 1,277 New Developers +15% The last time new crypto developers increased for more than 3 month

8、s was December 2017 at peak Bitcoin prices. .but new monthly developers grew 15% since start of 2020 December 1 - 31, 2017: 2,550 New Developers October 1 - 31, 2020: 1,470 New Developers The number of new crypto developers is growing for the first time since 2017 6Overview And monthly active develo

9、pers seem to be flat/slightly up in 2020. 7Monthly active is the sum of unique developers who were active in the preceding 28 days Jan 1, 2020 Developers: 8,212 October 31, 2020 Developers: 8,739 There is a slight 6% increase since Jan 2020, but falls within historical noise. Overview .Because devel

10、opers are consolidating into high quality ecosystems in the top 200 by Network Value 8 .while Developers outside of the Top 200 have decreased 30% 2018 Winter Developer High December 15, 2018 Other Developers: 5,328 October 31, 2020 Other Developers: 3,684 Top 200 Developers increased by 13% since D

11、ecember 2018. 4850 Some developers worked in both Top 200 and Other, so the sum of Top 200 and Other is greater than total unique developers in crypto October 31, 2020 Developers: 5,469 Overview There are areas of strong developer growth. 9Overview Bitcoin monthly active developers have grown 70%+ i

12、n 3 years 10 +71% October 31, 2020 Developers: 361 October 31, 2017 Developers: 211 OverviewMonthly active is the sum of unique developers who were active in the preceding 28 days Ethereum monthly active developers have grown 215%+ in 3 years 11 October 31, 2020 Developers: 2,325 +215% October 31, 2

13、017 Developers: 738 OverviewMonthly active is the sum of unique developers who were active in the preceding 28 days Decentralized finance developers increased by 67% since January 2020 12 +67% October 31, 2020 Developers: 925 January 1, 2020 Developers: 554 OverviewMonthly active is the sum of uniqu

14、e developers who were active in the preceding 28 days Who left crypto, who remains, and who joined? Lets segment by: 1.Developer Types a.Frequency of Contribution.14 b.Start Date.20 2.Ecosystem Types a.Size of Ecosystem.29 b.Top 200 Ecosystems by Network Value.60 c.Layer 1 Ecosystems.70 d.Decentrali

15、zed Finance.104 13Table of contents Developers By Frequency of Contribution 14 Looking across all crypto developers. 15Developers | by frequency of contribution October 31, 2018 Developers: 9,533 Jan 1, 2020 Developers: 8,212 October 31, 2020 Developers: 8,739 October 31, 2019 Developers: 9,083 Ther

16、e are 8,000+ monthly active developers in crypto Since early 2018 16 A developer is active if they contribute a code commit to a crypto ecosystem Developers | by frequency of contributionMonthly active is the sum of unique developers who were active in the preceding 28 days 8,000 monthly active deve

17、lopers Most developers contribute fewer than 10 days in 1 month 17 75% of developers contributed fewer than 10 days in October 2020 Infrequent ContributorsFrequent Contributors Developers | by frequency of contribution We can categorize developers based on frequency of contribution 18 Infrequent Con

18、tributors Active fewer than 10 days per month Frequent Contributors Active for 10 or more days per month Infrequent Contributors: Active fewer than 10 days per month Frequent Contributors: Active for 10 or more days per month Developers | by frequency of contribution Year over Year, infrequent Contr

19、ibutors decreased by 13% while Frequent Contributors stayed relatively flat 19 October 31, 2020 Developers: 5,891 2,798 January 1, 2020 Developers: 5,573 2,840 Infrequent developers fell 13% since October 2018, though its still within normal fluctuations October 31, 2019 Developers: 6,156 October 31

20、, 2018 Developers: 6,767 2,976 2,848 Frequent developers numbers are steady and stayed flat with slight 2% gain since October 2018 Developers | by frequency of contribution Infrequent Contributors: Active fewer than 10 days per month Frequent Contributors: Active for 10 or more days per month Develo

21、pers By Start Date 20 We find each developers first commit date to pinpoint their start date 21 For example, 1,971 developers committed code for the first time in a crypto ecosystem in July 2019 Developers | by start date 1200+ new developers join crypto every month in 2020 22 2020 New Developers De

22、velopers | by start date December 1 - 31, 2019: 1,277 New Developers +15% The last time new crypto developers increased for more than 3 months was December 2017. .but new monthly developers grew 15% since start of 2020 December 1 - 31, 2017: 2,550 New Developers October 1 - 31, 2020: 1,470 New Devel

23、opers 15% growth in monthly new developers in crypto since December 2019 23Developers | by start date Yearly new developers in 2020 already exceeded new developers from 2017 24 Only through October 2020 2020 New Developers already exceeded 2017 New Developers Developers | by start date 45% of new de

24、velopers in 2020 were active in the last 90 days 25 45% of new developers in 2020 were active in the last 90 days Developers Developers | by start date 40%+ of currently active monthly developers started in 2020 26 40%+ of all developers started in 2020 Earlier Developers | by start date Proportion

25、of Monthly Active Developers by Start Date 80%+ of all active developers came in after Bitcoin prices peaked in December 2017 80%+ of currently active developers started after Bitcoins all time high in 2017 27 Earlier Developers | by start date Proportion of Monthly Active Developers by Start Date S

26、witching to looking at ecosystems. 28 Ecosystems By ecosystem Size 29 Protocol Developers Community Developers 1.Community Developers are working on decentralized applications, documentation, tooling, wallets, and anything else furthering the project. 2.Protocol Developers include developers working

27、 only on the core protocol. Ecosystems are comprised of community and protocol level developers 30Ecosystems | by ecosystem size We can count the number of crypto ecosystems that are active per month 31 An ecosystem is active if there was a code commit in one of its repositories Ecosystems | by ecos

28、ystem size Active ecosystems crossed over 800 in 2018 and have stayed above this level 32 October 31, 2020 Active Ecosystems: 816 Ecosystem All Time High March 31, 2019 Active Ecosystems: 995 January 1, 2018 Active Ecosystems: 744 Ecosystems | by ecosystem size October 31, 2020 Active Ecosystems: 81

29、6 Ecosystem All Time High March 31, 2019 Active Ecosystems: 995 Active ecosystems decreased by 18% since the all time high Ecosystem Count 33 -18% Ecosystems | by ecosystem size October 31, 2020 Active Ecosystems: 816 The number of crypto ecosystems have grown 143% since 2017 34 Ecosystems have grow

30、n 143% since Jan 2017Jan 2017 Active Ecosystems: 335 Ecosystems | by ecosystem size Lets segment ecosystems by number of developers. 35Ecosystems | by ecosystem size Ecosystems with 2-10 developers are the source of the overall drop 36 October 2020 Active Ecosystems: 423 Ecosystem All Time High Marc

31、h 31, 2019 Active Ecosystems: 560 -24% 221 160 17 16 200 182 23 14 9 Small Ecosystems: 2-10 developers Single Developer Ecosystems: 1 developer Medium Ecosystems: 11-50 developers Large Ecosystems: 51-100 developers Mature Ecosystems: 100+ developers Ecosystems | by ecosystem size Ecosystems with 1

32、developer have stayed flat around 200 since 2018 37 160 17 16 200 14 There have been around 200 ecosystems with 1 developer since 2018 October 2020 Active Ecosystems: 423 Small Ecosystems: 2-10 developers Single Developer Ecosystems: 1 developer Medium Ecosystems: 11-50 developers Large Ecosystems:

33、51-100 developers Mature Ecosystems: 100+ developers Ecosystems | by ecosystem size 2019 Q3 to 2020 Q3 Change Bigger team size category Stayed within the same category Smaller team size category Dead (0 developers) We can track how ecosystems changed size categories from 2019 q3 to 2020 q3 38 .and b

34、reak down how these ecosystems changed team sizes in 2020 Q3 We can look at the size of ecosystems in 2019 Q3. Ecosystems | by ecosystem size Percent of Ecosystems that Changed Ecosystems with 100+ developers did not fall below that level by 2020 q3 39 100% of ecosystems with 100+ devs stayed within

35、 the same category 2019 Q3 to 2020 Q3 Change Bigger team size category Stayed within the same category Smaller team size category Dead (0 developers) Ecosystems | by ecosystem size Percent of Ecosystems that Changed Ecosystems with 31-50 developers in q3 2019 were the most prone to losing developers

36、 40 70%+ of developers who had 31-50 developers in Q3 2019 decreased team size by Q3 2020 2019 Q3 to 2020 Q3 Change Bigger team size category Stayed within the same category Smaller team size category Dead (0 developers) Ecosystems | by ecosystem size Ecosystems with fewer than 10 developers are lik

37、elier to be abandoned 41 25% of ecosystems with fewer than 10 devs and 56% of ecosystems with 1 dev are dead one year later 2019 Q3 to 2020 Q3 Change Bigger team size category Stayed within the same category Smaller team size category Dead (0 developers) Ecosystems | by ecosystem size We can take a

38、snapshot of ecosystems in 2019 & 2020 to see how developer numbers changed 42Ecosystems | by ecosystem size 2019 q3 vs 2020 q3 43Ecosystems | by ecosystem size We can benchmark 2020 q3 team size against 2019 q3 to assess Developer growth 44 The y-axis indicates the average monthly developers in 2020

39、 Q3 The x-axis indicates the average monthly developers in 2019 Q3 2019 Q3 2020 Q3 Ecosystems | by ecosystem sizeGo to https:/electric-capital.github.io to see which repositories we count & help add new ones Most ecosystems with more than 100+ devs today grew or stayed the same Size 45 Polkadot, Cos

40、mos, Bitcoin, and others grew across 2019 Q3 and 2020 Q3 same size gained developers lost developers Ecosystems | by ecosystem sizeGo to https:/electric-capital.github.io to see which repositories we count & help add new ones same size gained developers lost developers Ethereum gained 300+ average m

41、onthly developers since q3 2019 46 Ethereum: 2019 Q3: 1,985 2020 Q3: 2,296 Ecosystems | by ecosystem sizeGo to https:/electric-capital.github.io to see which repositories we count & help add new ones Zooming in.Polkadot, Tezos, Cardano had 100+ devs in Q3 2019 and gained more developers by Q3 2020 4

42、7 Had 100+ developers in 2019 Q3 and gained more developers 2020 Q3 Ecosystems with 100 developers in Q3 2019 same size gained developers lost developers Ecosystems | by ecosystem sizeGo to https:/electric-capital.github.io to see which repositories we count & help add new ones same size (1x) gained

43、 developers lost developers Polkadot doubled their developer Count 48 Polkadot: 2019 Q3: 189 2020 Q3: 384 gained 100% more developers (2x) Ecosystems | by ecosystem sizeGo to https:/electric-capital.github.io to see which repositories we count & help add new ones same size (1x) gained developers los

44、t developers gained 100% more developers (2x) Filecoin broke into the 100+ category by growing devs 3x 49 gained 200% more developers (3x) Filecoin: 2019 Q3: 37 2020 Q3: 113 Ecosystems | by ecosystem sizeGo to https:/electric-capital.github.io to see which repositories we count & help add new ones s

45、ame size gained developers lost developers Bitcoin, cosmos, Lightning, and Hyperledger all stayed the same size 50Ecosystems | by ecosystem sizeGo to https:/electric-capital.github.io to see which repositories we count & help add new ones same size gained developers lost developers Eos lost an avera

46、ge of 88 monthly active developers 51 EOS: 2019 Q3: 195 2020 Q3: 107 Ecosystems | by ecosystem sizeGo to https:/electric-capital.github.io to see which repositories we count & help add new ones gained developers lost developers Zooming in further to ecosystems with 20+ developers. 52Ecosystems | by

47、ecosystem sizeGo to https:/electric-capital.github.io to see which repositories we count & help add new ones gained 200% more developers (3x) Celo, Nervos, Algorand, Gnosis, Solana now have close to 2x their developers in 2019 q3 53 gained 100% more developers (2x) gained developers lost developers

48、Ecosystems | by ecosystem sizeGo to https:/electric-capital.github.io to see which repositories we count & help add new ones gained 200% more developers (3x) The graph, oasis, Chainlink, and others now have more than 2x their developers in 2019 q3 54 gained 100% more developers (2x) gained developer

49、s lost developers Ecosystems | by ecosystem sizeGo to https:/electric-capital.github.io to see which repositories we count & help add new ones gained 200% more developers (3x) gained 100% more developers (2x) gained developers lost developers Near, Flow, Avalanche, Uniswap, Balancer, Arweave, & others now have more than 3x their developers in 2019 Q3 55Ecosystems | by ecosystem sizeGo to https:/electric-capital.github.io to see whic

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