治理结构与公司价值——美国与东亚若干经验比较83728.pptx

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1、Corporate Governance and the Value of Firms-Some Experiences of U.S and AsiaProfessor K.C.John Wei,PhDTel:(852)-2358-7676;Fax:(852)-2358-1749E-mail:johnweiust.hkDepartment of Finance,HKUST and Visiting Department of Finance,Peking UniversityPrepared for CCER,Peking University CFAII_SS18:Options1byJo

2、hnWei,2001Profile of Prof.K.C.John WeiProf.K.C.JohnWeireceivedhisPhDinFinanceattheUniversityofIllinois,Champaign-Urbana,in1984.HeservedtheUniversityofMississippiasanAssistantProfessorfromJanuary1984toJune1988.AfterservingtheUniversityofMiamiasanAssistantProfessorforoneyear,hemovedtoIndianaUniversity

3、,whereheservedasanAssociatedProfessorfromJuly1989toJune1992.Since July 1992,Prof.John Wei has been serving the HKUST Business School initially as anAssociate Professor and later was promoted to full Professor.He served as Acting Head of theDepartmentofFinancefromJanuary2001August2002andFebruaryJune2

4、003.Prof.WeihasalsobeenappointedtheDirectoroftheCentreforAsianFinancialMarketssince1995.HewasvisitingUniversityofTexasatAustinfromSeptembertoDecember2002andiscurrentlyvisitingGuanghauSchoolofManagement,PekingUniversity.Withresearchfocusesonempiricalresearchincapitalmarkets,derivativesandassetpricing

5、ofAsianandU.S.markets,Prof.Weihasproducedanumberofhighqualitypapersontheseareas.Manyofthesepaperswerepublishedintopjournalsinfinanceandhavemadeconsiderablecontributionstothefinanceliterature.Heisanauthoroffourbooks(inChinese)onHongKongstockandwarrantsmarketsandTaiwanesestockmarket.Inaddition,Prof.We

6、iisaregularcolumnwriterfortheHong Kong Economic Journal,alocalnewspaperspecialisedinfinancialnews.Ontheconsultancyactivities,Prof.WeihashelpedHangSengBanktodevelopapersonalfinancialplanning model called“SmartInvest,”and HSBC to develop a financial planning model,called“Rule-BasedInvestmentSolutions.

7、”HealsoconductedaconsultancyprojectinitiatedbyHKSARforAPECandafewprojectsforHongKongStockExchange.Prof.WeihavebeeninvolvedexecutiveteachingforHKUST,PekingUniversity,HongKongStockExchange,Chinese provincial government officials,general corporate executives,Xiean Jassen,Daimler/Chrysler,ChinaMobile,As

8、pire,andBenQ.CFAII_SS18:Options2byJohnWei,2001Value creation and business strategiesValuationCreationQijiaCEOXiushenZhiguoPingtianxiaManagement teamAssets in placeGrowth opportunityCapitalPeopleManagement skillsVisionIntegrityCorporate governanceIncentivesRestructuringCompetitive advantagesM&A(exter

9、nal)Investment(internal)(ROICWACC)R&DEquityDebtCentral bankCommercial banksInvestment banksMutual fundsInsurance companiesValuation methodsDCFComparative measureROAInvestorsTimingCost of capital(WACC)Financial engineeringCBCapital marketsObjective/StrategyInvestor behaviorGreed and fearCognitive or

10、heuristic biasFocus vs Diversified (Cisco vs GE)OEM vs BrandLow vs high endCFAII_SS18:Options3byJohnWei,2001Value creation via financial strategiesDividend policy:ReinvestmentShareholder valueInvestment decision:Growth optionsFinancing decision:WACCCorporate governance:Asymmetric informationApproach

11、es tovaluationMergers&AcquisitionsValue creationROIC WACCDCF(NPV)valuationComparablevaluationROARestructuring(Strategy)Why value value?ManagementdisciplineTransparencyIndependenceAccountabilityResponsibilityFairnessSocialresponsibilityStrategiestocreatevalueInternalgrowthWhatisyourdreamcompany?Focus

12、vsdiversifiedCorecompetenceCFAII_SS18:Options4byJohnWei,2001How to value a firmThevalueofafirmwithaconstantgrowrateiswhereNOPLAT=netoperatingprofitlessadjustedtaxesEBIT=earningsbeforeinterestandtaxest=averagetaxrateWACC=weighedaveragecostofcapitalg=growthrate=reinvestmentrateROICROIC=returnonnewinve

13、stedcapital=NOPLAT/ICg/ROIC=reinvestmentrate=rICFAII_SS18:Options5byJohnWei,2001How to enhance the value of a firmTheMMformulaHowtoenhancethevalueofafirmIncreaseoperatingefficiency(NOPLAT)Increasereturnonnewinvestedcapital(ROIC)InvestinnewprojectonlywhenROICWACCIncreasethegrowth(g),rI=g/ROICProlongt

14、heperiodofcompetitiveadvantage(N)Reducethecostofcapital(WACC)CFAII_SS18:Options6byJohnWei,2001Value DriversThreevaluedrivers:Abnormalprofit(investonlywhenROICWACC):intherightindustryGrowth(g)orreinvestment:inthehighgrowthindustryRisk(WACC):(1)economy-widerisk(businesscycle),(2)operatingrisk(degreeof

15、capitalintensity),and(3)financingrisk(leverage)Commonmistake:Managersoftenignorethecostof“equity”capitalCFAII_SS18:Options7byJohnWei,2001Sources of abnormal profitMonopoly(Highprofitmargin):MicrosoftoreBay(priceorservicedifferential;intherightindustry)Lowcostoperator:HonHaiPrecision,TaiwanSemiconduc

16、tor,Dell,BYD(makemoneyfromgoodmanagement)Lowfinancingcost:GEBarriertoentry:(1)capital,(2)technology(patents),(3)distributionchannels,(4)governmentprotectionExample:Profitmargin=20%;WACC=15%;Capitalturnover=2timesForevery$100sales,profit=$20,requiredcapitalinvestment=$50,costofcapital=$50*15%=$7.50,a

17、bnormalprofit=$20$7.5=$12.5.Atwhatlevelofprofitmargin,willthefirmbecomeamaturecompany?CFAII_SS18:Options8byJohnWei,2001Abnormal profit:Motorola,Ericsson and Nokia1993-19951994-961995-971996-98MotorolaROIC20.26%16.83%14.14%8.17%WACC8.21%13.00%14.01%14.11%Diff12.05%3.84%0.12%-5.94%EricssonROIC27.25%28

18、.54%32.73%20.60%WACC5.07%8.10%11.80%11.69%Diff22.18%20.44%20.92%8.90%NokiaROIC11.94%15.42%18.71%27.60%WACC6.56%8.80%8.32%9.07%Diff5.39%6.62%10.39%18.54%CFAII_SS18:Options9byJohnWei,2001Earnings qualityAre your company future incomes easy to forecast?Are they sensitiveto business or industry cycle?(M

19、icrosoft vs Intel;GM vs Coca Cola)Economy-widerisk:Businesscycle(GMvsMerck)Operatingrisk:Levelofcapitalintensity(TSMCvsYuYuan)Financingrisk:Leverage(NWDvsSHKProperties)Accountinginformationrisk:Disclosureandcorporategovernance(CASvsIAS;TSMCvsUMC)InventoryAccountsreceivablesGrossmarginS&AexpensesRese

20、rveforbadaccountsreceivablesR&DProductivityCFAII_SS18:Options10byJohnWei,2001Corporate GovernanceCFAII_SS18:Options11byJohnWei,2001Recent corporate governance problems in the U.S.ManipulationsofaccountingearningsEnron,GlobalCrossing,Xerox,AdelphiaCommunications,WorldCom,TycoInternational,ImCloneSyst

21、ems,ArthurAnderson,FreddieMac,MicrosoftOff-BalanceSheetborrowingsEnron,ElanMotivation:Smoothearnings,jackupstockprices(stockoptions)ConsequencesFirmsinvolvedwenttobankruptcyorwereintroubleWholemarketdroppedduetoinvestorslossofconfidenceRemediesStrengthentheregulationsbySECandtheU.S.CongressInternala

22、ndexternalauditingMoreefficientboardsofdirectorsCFAII_SS18:Options12byJohnWei,2001Characteristics of Asian CompaniesOwnedandcontrolledbyfamily(pyramidorcrossholding)Enhancement(interestsofmanagersandshareholderscanbemorealigned)Entrenchment(stealing,tunneling,ignoringordestroyingfirmvalue)Lackofcorp

23、orategovernance(TSMCCEO:Integrity)CannottrustoutsideprofessionalmanagersDontknowhowtodelegatePassCEOpositiontoownsonratherthancapablemanagerCommittomorecognitiveorheuristicbiasCFAII_SS18:Options13byJohnWei,2001Why is corporate governance important?ArecentsurveyconductedbyMcKinsey&Co.showsinvestorspa

24、ya premium of more than20%forgoodCGfirms.Thebenefitsofgoodcorporategovernance:reducethecost of capital(WACC)increasethevalue of the firmsbenefitshareholders,employees,andsocietyChen,Chen,andWei(2003)findcompaniesinEastAsia:non-disclosureCGimprovesfrombottom25%totop75%:thecostofequitycapitalisreduced

25、1.26%pointsDisclosureimprovesbythesamemagnitude,thecostofequitycapitalisreducedby0.47%pointFirmsinbetterCGcountrycanalsoreducethecostofcapitalSimons(HBR,September2002)profitabilityispositivelycorrelatedwithhowworkersperceivetheirmanagersbehavioralintegrity(hotelindustry)CFAII_SS18:Options14byJohnWei

26、,2001What is corporate governance?ThemechanismsofPushingfirmstooperate more efficientlyandtocreate value,andPreventing potential exploitationofoutsideinvestors,particularlyshareholders,bycorporateinsiderssuchasthemanagementShareholdershavecontrol rights Directorsandmanagersaresupposedtorunthefirmsin

27、 the interests of the shareholdersCFAII_SS18:Options15byJohnWei,2001Why is it needed?Agency problembetweenshareholdersandmanagers(problemforU.S.companies)Agencyproblembetweenmajorityshareholdersandminorityshareholders(problemforAsiancompanies)Expropriation(entrenchment,stealing,tunneling)CFAII_SS18:

28、Options16byJohnWei,2001Good governance practiceWhatmakesgreatboardsgreat(SonnenfeldHBR,September2002)verysimply,high-functioningworkgroupsaclimateofrespect,trust,andcandoramongboardmembersandbetweentheboardandmanagement.Informationissharedopenlyandontimefeelfreetochallengeoneanothersassumptionsandco

29、nclusionsmanagementencourageslivelydiscussionofstrategicissues.feelresponsibilitytocontributetoperformance.assesstheirownperformance,bothcollectivelyandindividually.InstallingeffectivelyindependentboardAnindependentboardchairman(CEOnotthechairman)ThreemostindependentcommitteesonanyboardTheauditcommi

30、tteeThecompensationcommitteeThenominatingcommitteeCFAII_SS18:Options17byJohnWei,2001Why Value Value?CFAII_SS18:Options18byJohnWei,2001Japan in Mid-1980s:We are Number OneFromKimandYoungCFAII_SS18:Options19byJohnWei,2001Japan Now:We are in Prolong RecessionFinancial Times:February2,2002CFAII_SS18:Opt

31、ions20byJohnWei,2001Nikkei 225 vs.Dow:January 1984-June 2003CFAII_SS18:Options21byJohnWei,2001Not Every Thing is Equal:Sony is DifferentCFAII_SS18:Options22byJohnWei,2001Toyota Motor is also DifferentCFAII_SS18:Options23byJohnWei,2001But Nissan is the same until RecentlyCFAII_SS18:Options24byJohnWei

32、,2001Renaults 44.4%purchase in March 1999makes Nissan different sinceCFAII_SS18:Options25byJohnWei,2001Value-Based Management Makes the DifferencesTheperformancedifferencebetweenU.S.firmsandJapanesefirms,andbetweenSonyandotherJapanesefirmsisGoodperformersadoptValue-BasedManagement(VBM),whilelosersdo

33、not.WhatistheproblemfortheU.S.marketnow?WhatisVBM?VBMfocusesonvalue creationfortheirshareholders ratherthanstakeholdersCFAII_SS18:Options26byJohnWei,2001What is the Decision Rule for VBM?VBMfocusesoninvestments(oldornew)thatcangenerateareturnoninvestedcapitalgreaterthantheircostofcapital.Thatis,inve

34、stonlywhenROIC WACCCFAII_SS18:Options27byJohnWei,2001What is the Value of a Firm?Firmvalue=Valueofequity+ValueofdebtFirmValue=Assetsinplace+Growthopportunities=Bookvalue+GrowthoptionsGrowthoptionmakesamajordifferenceinvalueamongfirmsCFAII_SS18:Options28byJohnWei,2001Shareholder-Oriented Economies Pe

35、rform BetterTheU.S.corporatefocusonshareholdervaluesincethemid-1980.Thebenefitsare:GDPpercapitaintheU.S.hasaleadofmorethan20%overothercountriesandhasbeenwideningsinceearly1990s,duetoMuchhigherfactorproductivity,especiallycapitalproductivityInvestedinmoreproductive(orvaluecreating)projects,i.e.,highe

36、rfinancialreturnsCFAII_SS18:Options29byJohnWei,2001Shareholder-Oriented Firms Benefit All200yearsago,AdamSmithpostulatedthat“the most productive and innovative companies would create the highest returns to shareholders and attract better workers,who would be more productive and increase returns furt

37、her”avirtuous cycleOntheotherhand,“Companies that destroy value would create a vicious cycle and eventually wither away”CFAII_SS18:Options30byJohnWei,2001Shareholder-Oriented Firms Benefit All(cont)CompanieswithhigherlaborproductivityaremorelikelytocreatemorevalueCompaniesthatareabletocreatemorevalu

38、ealsocreatemorejobsHappyworkers,happyinvestors(Fortune,May2002)Conclusion:A shareholder value focus not only is good for shareholders but also good for the economy and other stakeholdersCFAII_SS18:Options31byJohnWei,2001Case studies(HBR)Leading for valuebyPitman(March2003):BritishbankLloydsTSBACEO-l

39、edtransformationofthecompanysculturebySirBrianPitman:value-based managementasingle definitionofsuccessandasingle meansofmeasuringit.AtLloyds,hereplacedtheexistingarrayofimplicitobjectiveswithasinglegoverningobjective(generategreater value for shareholders)andestablishedincreasinglysophisticatedinter

40、nalmetricsforachievingit.createvalueforeveryone:Customer,employees,andcommunities.From1983to2001,BritishbankLloydsTSBincreaseditsmarketcapitalization40-fold,inpartbysheddingassetsandnarrowingitsfocus.CFAII_SS18:Options32byJohnWei,2001Case studies(HBR)When company values backfirebyEdmondsonandCha(200

41、2-11)MaymisinterpretandbrandtheCEOasahypocriteMake your values mean somethingbyLencioni(2002-07)Enron2000annualreportforcorporatevalue:“Communication.Respect.Integrity.Excellence.”Empty values statementscreatecynicalanddispiritedemployeesandunderminemanagerialcredibilityValuesstatementsreallytomeans

42、omethingshouldfollow:understandthedifferent types of values:core,aspirational,permission-to-play,andaccidental.beaggressively authenticown the processweave core values into everythingCFAII_SS18:Options33byJohnWei,2001Restructuring CompaniesGeneralCFAII_SS18:Options34byJohnWei,2001The Value ManagerAf

43、ocusonlong-run cash flowreturns,notquarter-to-quarterchangesinearningspershareValue-oriented view:Investonlywhenreturnoninvestedcapitalcostofcapital(ROIC WACC)Abilitytotakeanoutsiders viewofthebusinessWillingnesstoactonopportunitiestocreateincrementalvalueFinally,andthemostimportant,the need to deve

44、lop and institutionalize a managing value philosophy throughout the organization(itisanongoinginitiative)CFAII_SS18:Options35byJohnWei,2001The Process of Becoming Value-OrientedArestructuringthatunleashes valuetrappedwithinthecompany(highbenefit;butthecostcanbehigh)DivesturesLayoffsDevelopingavalue-

45、orientedapproachtoleadingandmanagingtheircompaniesafterrestructuringEstablishingprioritiesbasedonvaluecreationGearingplanning,performance measurement,and incentive compensation systemstowardshareholdervalueCommunicating with investorsintermsofvaluecreationCFAII_SS18:Options36byJohnWei,2001When are C

46、ompanies in Need of Restructuring?Scoreof6-24with24beingtheworst(basedonMonitor)Total return to shareholders(TRS)Sales growthrelativetoindustry(growth)Operating marginrelativetoindustry(operatingefficiency)Capital returnrelativetoindustry(ROIC)Numberofbusinessunits(focus?)Distancefrommedianindustryc

47、apital structure(WACC,optimalcapitalstructure)CFAII_SS18:Options37byJohnWei,2001Restructuring ProcessDiagnosticScan(Decisiontorestructure)Restructuring(Implementationplan)Value-basedManagement(VBM implemented)IncentiveDesign(New incentive system)CFAII_SS18:Options38byJohnWei,2001Restructuring Framew

48、orkCurrentmarketvalueTotalpotentialvalueDCFvalueusinganalystforecastsValuewithinternalandexternalimprovementsDCFvalueusingmanagementexpectationValuewithinternalimprovementsMarket InefficiencyTakeoverspeculationInternalimprovementsCorporategovernanceOptimalopportunityPublic held businessGrowth opport

49、unities+Financial EngineeringCapitalstructureDividendpolicyRiskmanagementDisposal/new ownersM&AJointventureSpin-offsIPOsLetterstockDivestureOperating improvementsRevenuegrowthCostreductionCapitalefficiencyPerception GapOvervaluedUndervaluedValue createdThroughRestructuringCFAII_SS18:Options39byJohnW

50、ei,2001Restructuring Framework:ExampleThiscompanyhad10businessunitsanditsstockpricewasdecliningMarketValue$1,000MaximumValuePotential$1,800DCFvalueusinganalystforecasts$1,050Valuewithinternalandexternalimprovements$1,650DCFvalueusingmanagementexpectation$950Valuewithinternalimprovement$1,200Market I